www.linkedin.com/in/cpickens/en





By Charles Pickens for RealEstateAuctions.com  



In a slowly recovering real estate market, it’s been widely understood that a short sale is preferable to lenders than going through a foreclosure proceeding. Get what you can now and save on the expense of property maintenance, legal fees and court time. Recently however, using new calculation models and data, there has been a change in this strategy, leading to a new look at the foreclosure or short sale question.
Rising home prices have been a benefit to many homeowners, but those facing foreclosure have found that the lending community has begun to change its approach to liquidation strategies. It has now been found that foreclosure and the sale of the resulting REO may provide a higher recovery on the unpaid principle balance (UPB) than short sales, a significant change from just a few years ago.

Let’s take a look at three methods of liquidation:
1. A sale to a third party at a foreclosure auction
2. A short sale
3. A foreclosure and subsequent sale of the REO

In the first case, it was found that sale at a foreclosure auction consistently resulted in a fully paid mortgage. In a short sale scenario; by definition the lender agrees to take less than the UPB to settle the debt. Beginning in the third quarter of 2012 lenders began to see a higher UPB recovery rate on sales of REO than short sales. Trey Barnes, senior VP of loan data products at Black Knight Financial Services, who came up with this calculation process says “Of course, REO sales have additional timelines and associated costs that impact total losses and are not accounted for in this analysis. That said, on average, REO properties are selling for 71 percent of the corresponding loans’ defaulted UPB, as compared to just 65 percent for short sales. Both recovery rates pale in comparison to third-party sales at foreclosure auction, however, where average gross sales price is 116 percent of UPB.”

Quite clearly, this represents a change in thinking that will have a wide spread impact on the industry. At RealEstateAuctions.com / New York, we expect seeing a decline in the “we can help prevent foreclosure” option for distressed homeowners; instead, we anticipate an aggressive streamlining of the foreclosure process by lenders resulting in larger and more frequent real estate auctions.

Charles Pickens is an Auction Executive and Team Leader for RealEstateAuctions.com in New York City. For more information about New York auctions, contact Charles at 646-824-3350 or cpickens@omegaservicesgroup.com.